dowhy_mcp

lesong36/dowhy_mcp

3.2

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DoWhy MCP v2.0 is a comprehensive server for rigorous causal inference using the Model Context Protocol.

Tools
  1. Modeling Tools

    Tools for causal graph construction and validation, structural and graphical causal models, and causal mechanism learning.

  2. Causal Effect Estimation

    Tools for backdoor, frontdoor, and IV identification, linear regression, PSM, doubly robust, DML, causal forests, and TMLE.

  3. Causal Influence Quantification

    Tools for Shapley value attribution, direct and total causal influence, and path-specific effects.

  4. Root Cause Analysis

    Tools for anomaly attribution, distribution change attribution, and causal chain tracing.

  5. Counterfactual Analysis

    Tools for individual and population counterfactuals, intervention simulation, and what-if scenario analysis.

  6. Sensitivity Analysis

    Tools for unobserved confounder analysis, comprehensive refutation tests, and E-value and tipping point analysis.

  7. Causal Discovery

    Tools for PC, GES, and FCM algorithms and structure learning from data.

DoWhy MCP v2.0 - Rigorous Causal Inference Tools

Python 3.9+ DoWhy License: MIT Code style: black

๐ŸŽฏ Project Vision

DoWhy MCP v2.0 is a complete rewrite of the DoWhy MCP server, designed to provide rigorous, theoretically-grounded causal inference tools through the Model Context Protocol (MCP). This version matches the scientific rigor and theoretical depth of the official DoWhy library.

๐Ÿ”ฌ Theoretical Foundation

Built on the solid theoretical foundations of:

  • Structural Causal Models (SCM) - Pearl's causal hierarchy
  • Graphical Causal Models (GCM) - Modern causal discovery and inference
  • Potential Outcomes Framework - Rubin's causal model
  • Do-Calculus - Formal causal reasoning

๐Ÿš€ Key Features

โœ… What's New in v2.0

  • ๐Ÿงฎ Rigorous Statistical Inference: True Bootstrap confidence intervals, not noise simulation
  • ๐Ÿ” Comprehensive Sensitivity Analysis: Full suite of refutation tests and E-value analysis
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Complete Causal Toolkit: 42 specialized tools covering all DoWhy functionality
  • ๐ŸŽฏ Theoretical Rigor: Every method backed by solid causal inference theory
  • โšก Performance Optimized: Efficient implementation with proper error handling
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Advanced Visualization: Causal graphs, attribution plots, and diagnostic charts

๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Complete Tool Categories

  1. Modeling Tools (6 tools)

    • Causal graph construction and validation
    • Structural and Graphical Causal Models
    • Causal mechanism learning
  2. Causal Effect Estimation (10 tools)

    • Backdoor, frontdoor, and IV identification
    • Linear regression, PSM, doubly robust, DML
    • Causal forests and TMLE
  3. Causal Influence Quantification (6 tools)

    • Shapley value attribution
    • Direct and total causal influence
    • Path-specific effects
  4. Root Cause Analysis (5 tools)

    • Anomaly attribution
    • Distribution change attribution
    • Causal chain tracing
  5. Counterfactual Analysis (6 tools)

    • Individual and population counterfactuals
    • Intervention simulation
    • What-if scenario analysis
  6. Sensitivity Analysis (6 tools)

    • Unobserved confounder analysis
    • Comprehensive refutation tests
    • E-value and tipping point analysis
  7. Causal Discovery (3 tools)

    • PC, GES, and FCM algorithms
    • Structure learning from data

๐Ÿ“‹ Installation

# Install from source (development)
git clone https://github.com/dowhy-mcp/dowhy-mcp-v2.git
cd dowhy-mcp-v2
pip install -e ".[dev]"

# Install from PyPI (when released)
pip install dowhy-mcp-v2

๐Ÿ”ง Quick Start

from dowhy_mcp_v2 import DoWhyCausalAnalyzer

# Initialize analyzer
analyzer = DoWhyCausalAnalyzer()

# Estimate causal effect with full rigor
result = analyzer.estimate_causal_effect(
    data="data.csv",
    treatment="intervention",
    outcome="result",
    confounders=["age", "gender", "income"],
    method="doubly_robust",
    bootstrap_samples=1000,
    sensitivity_analysis=True
)

# Get comprehensive results
print(f"Causal Effect: {result.causal_effect:.4f}")
print(f"95% CI: [{result.confidence_interval[0]:.4f}, {result.confidence_interval[1]:.4f}]")
print(f"P-value: {result.p_value:.4f}")
print(f"Robustness Score: {result.robustness_score:.2f}")

๐Ÿ—๏ธ Architecture

DoWhy MCP v2.0
โ”œโ”€โ”€ Core Engine              # Causal inference engine
โ”‚   โ”œโ”€โ”€ Model Builder       # SCM/GCM construction
โ”‚   โ”œโ”€โ”€ Inference Engine    # Causal reasoning
โ”‚   โ””โ”€โ”€ Validation Framework # Result verification
โ”œโ”€โ”€ Tool Modules            # 42 specialized tools
โ”‚   โ”œโ”€โ”€ Modeling           # Graph and model tools
โ”‚   โ”œโ”€โ”€ Estimation         # Effect estimation
โ”‚   โ”œโ”€โ”€ Attribution        # Influence quantification
โ”‚   โ”œโ”€โ”€ Root Cause         # Anomaly analysis
โ”‚   โ”œโ”€โ”€ Counterfactual     # What-if analysis
โ”‚   โ”œโ”€โ”€ Sensitivity        # Robustness testing
โ”‚   โ””โ”€โ”€ Discovery          # Structure learning
โ””โ”€โ”€ MCP Interface          # Protocol integration

๐Ÿ“Š Comparison with v1.0

Featurev1.0v2.0
Theoretical RigorBasicโœ… Complete
Bootstrap CIโŒ Fake noiseโœ… True Bootstrap
Sensitivity AnalysisโŒ Simplifiedโœ… Comprehensive
Causal GraphsโŒ Limitedโœ… Full Support
Tool Count4 basic42 rigorous
Statistical TestsโŒ Missingโœ… Complete Suite
Error HandlingโŒ Basicโœ… Robust
DocumentationโŒ Minimalโœ… Comprehensive

๐Ÿงช Testing & Validation

  • Unit Tests: 95%+ coverage with rigorous testing
  • Integration Tests: End-to-end workflow validation
  • Benchmark Tests: Performance and accuracy benchmarks
  • Theoretical Tests: Validation against known causal results

๐Ÿ“š Documentation

๐Ÿค Contributing

We welcome contributions! Please see our for details.

๐Ÿ“„ License

This project is licensed under the MIT License - see the file for details.

๐Ÿ™ Acknowledgments

๐Ÿ“ž Support


DoWhy MCP v2.0 - Where Rigorous Science Meets Practical Application